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The Russians Must Decide
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Will a Russian energy crisis finally lead to a negotiated settlement, or are we headed towards nuclear war? On this episode of Talking Geopolitics, GPF Chairman George Friedman joins host Christian Smith to discuss Ukrainian target shifts toward energy infrastructure and their impact on Russia’s already fragile economy, the impending political crisis inside the Kremlin, and the viability of Russia’s potential next steps, including “tactical” nukes, Belarusian involvement, and fully mobilizing reserve forces. Episode recorded on June 29, 2026. Learn more about GeoEconomic Lens and access the first issue for free at https://geopoliticalfutures.com/lens/introducing-lens/. Learn more about GPF and subscribe to our free newsletter at http://www.geopoliticalfutures.com/gpf-newsletter. 0:00 Ukraine's Drone Strikes on Russia's Energy Infrastructure 1:35 How Attacks on Russian Oil Refineries Threaten the War Economy 5:36 Could Russia Use Tactical Nuclear Weapons? 7:42 U.S. Nuclear Policy and the Risk of Escalation 10:44 Kremlin Power Struggles: War Hawks vs. Peace Negotiations 13:56 U.S. Leadership, Nuclear Signaling, and Global Deterrence 18:06 Russia's Internal Instability, Resource Shortages, and Anti-War Sentiment 20:18 Putin's Political Crisis and Growing Isolation 21:35 Belarus, Iran, and the Expanding Geopolitical Conflict 22:47 Trump's Ukraine Strategy and Failed Negotiation Efforts 27:04 Russia's Military Logistics and the Belarus Front 29:32 Can Russia Mobilize More Troops? Military Challenges Ahead
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The Russians Must DecideA.K.M ✪
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